September 22, 2025
For the past couple of years, it’s been tough for buyers to make the numbers work. Home prices shot up. Mortgage rates too. And for many, the dream of homeownership felt just out of reach. Maybe you were one of them.
But here’s the good news: affordability is finally showing signs of improvement this fall.
According to Redfin, the typical monthly mortgage payment is about $290 lower than it was just a few months ago. That shift is giving more buyers breathing room to re-enter the market.
So, what’s behind the change? It comes down to three key factors:
Mortgage rates
Home prices
Wages
And right now, all three are finally moving in a better direction.
In May, rates were hovering around 7%. Now? They’re closer to 6.3%.
That might not sound like a big difference, but even small changes in mortgage rates impact your monthly payment. On a $400K loan, that rate drop could save you about $190 a month.
That kind of savings is already bringing more buyers back. As Joel Kan, VP and Deputy Chief Economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association, explains:
“The downward rate movement spurred the strongest week of borrower demand since 2022 . . . Purchase applications increased to the highest level since July and continued to run more than 20 percent ahead of last year’s pace.”
After years of steep appreciation, price growth has cooled down.
Odeta Kushi, Deputy Chief Economist at First American, explains:
“National home price growth remains positive, but muted — low single digits — and we expect this trend to continue in the second half of the year.”
That moderation gives buyers more stability when budgeting. And in some areas, prices have even dipped slightly, creating opportunities you may not have expected.
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, wages are up nearly 4% annually. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, says:
“Wage growth is now comfortably outpacing home price growth, and buyers have more choices.”
Translation: paychecks are growing faster than home prices, which helps tip the scales back toward affordability.
Affordability is still tight, but the picture is improving. With lower rates, slower price growth, and stronger wages, you might finally be in a better position to buy.
Remember, the typical monthly payment is already down about $290 compared to earlier this year.
If you’ve been waiting for the right moment to jump back in, this fall might be it.
Connect with a trusted local agent and a lender to re-run the numbers. Together, you can look at your budget, what’s changed, and whether it’s time to turn your window-shopping into key-turning.
Amber Johnson, Founder
Pillar Real Estate
805.835.3425
[email protected]
1345 Park St. Paso Robles, CA 93446
DRE# 01925434
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